Biologist Aubrey de Grey lays out a plan to stay young forever. Key step: finally winning the war on cancer.by Aubrey de Grey and Michael Rae
The Lede:
In my view, we can probably eliminate aging as a cause of death this century—and possibly within just a few decades, soon enough to benefit most people currently alive.
What could that achieve, in humanitarian terms? I’ll start with some numbers. Around 150,000 people die each day worldwide—that’s nearly two per second—and of those, about two-thirds die of aging. That’s right: 100,000 people. That’s about 30 World Trade Centers, 60 Katrinas, every single day. In the industrialized world, the proportion of deaths that are attributable to aging is around 90 percent—yes, that means that for every person who dies of any cause other than aging, be it homicide, road accidents, AIDS, whatever, somewhere around 10 people die of aging.
Many people, when thinking about the idea of adding years to life, commit the “Tithonus error”—the presumption that, when we talk about combating aging, we’re only talking about stretching out the grim years of debilitation and disease with which most people’s lives currently end. In fact, the opposite is true. The defeat of aging will entail the elimination of that period, by postponing it to indefinitely greater ages so that people never reach it. There will, quite simply, cease to be a portion of the population that is frail and infirm as a result of age. It’s not just extending lives that I’m advocating; it’s the elimination of the almost incalculable amount of suffering—experienced not only by the elderly themselves, of course, but by their loved ones and caregivers—that aging currently visits upon us. Oh, and there’s the minor detail of the financial savings that the elimination of aging would deliver to society: It’s well established that the average person in the industrialized world consumes more health care resources in his or her last year of life than in an entire life up to that point, irrespective of age at death, so we’re talking about trillions of dollars per year.
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When someone simply states that humans may not die from aging in the next 25 years, it really makes you think about what the world could be in the not-so-distant future.
I like this lede mainly because of that first sentence that presents this crazy idea that's surely straight out of a sci-fi/fantasy novel. It's short, it's sweet, it's daring. To think that we may never live to see all the long years of suffering at the end of our lives is a wonderful thought.
Then she goes in with the facts and numbers. 100,000 people die of old age every second? Wow. Postponing death indefinitely? Wow.
We seem to be living in a time where change is moving at maximum velocity. The discoveries that we make today are pieces of enormous and intricate puzzles, in which many have been and are nearly complete. Less than 15 years ago, the Internet was made available for public use. Since then, it seems, we've become a world that revolves largely around technology. So much has changed since then.
Since the beginning of intelligent thought, we've strived to improve the quality of life. The idea presented in this lede is inspiring. I like it a lot.